Friday, August 3, 2018

The 2018 Texas Senate Race - Charismatic Democrat Beto O' Rourke Challenges Ted Cruz in Latest Polls

Democrat Beto O'Rourke - The Next Senator From Texas?

Robert Francis "Beto" O'Rourke, the Congressman from Texas 16th Congressional District (El Paso), is the Democratic nominee for Senate against Republican Senator Ted Cruz in the November 6 national election. 

O'Rourke has been moving up in the polls and is now 6 points and 2 points behind the well known Cruz in two recent surverys. These poll numbers are surprising, since O'Rourke has limited name recognition behind his own district in far west Texas. Ted Cruz, Texas's Senator since 2013, has wide name recognition in Texas and nationally as a Presidential Candidate and right-wing opponent throughout the Republican Primaries against Trump in 2016.

O'Rourke speaks fluent Spanish (by all accounts better than Mr. Cruz who has Cuban ancestry), and has staked out very progressive positions on social issues for cannabis legalization, reproductive rights, and LGBTQ equality which show that deep red Texas may be returning to its moderate Democratic Party electoral traditions.  

O'Rourke is charismatic and looks good in cowboy boots. In addition, he can raise a ton of money nationally. This race, and Florida's,  where incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson is defending his seat against Republican Governor Rick Scott, are the two battlegrounds which will command national attention this fall. 

For more about the Texas Senatorial Race:



Thursday, August 2, 2018

Four LGBTQ Democrats Favored In Hotly Contested November Election Races

A record number of open LGBTQ Democrats are favored in hotly contested election races on November 6 for Governor or Senator.

I am not mentioning every Democrat running for electoral office. For example, democrat Lupe Valdez, who is a lesbian and running for Governor of Texas, is not mentioned here since she is not favored to win her election race against incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott. I am mentioning candidates who are given at least an even chance in current election polls.

Arizona      Senator       Kyrsten Sinema    (note: current member of U.S. House of Representatives)

Colorado    Governor    Jared Polis            (note: current member of U.S. House of Representatives)

Oregon       Governor    Kate Brown          (note: incumbent)

Wisconsin   Senator     Tammy Baldwin    (note: incumbent)

In addition, a record number of open LGBTQ candidates (almost all Democrats) are running for the U.S. House of Representatives. The final tally on November 7 should see the current number of 6 increase to over 10 open LGBTQ congressman.

For list of current LGBTQ House Members:

For LGBTQ Victory Fund Candidates in 2018:

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Ohio 12th Special Election Update - Democrat Danny O'Connor Closes In To 1 Point According To Well Regarded Monmouth Poll

Riding the Democratic Tidal Wave

The well respected Monmouth University poll now has young Democrat Danny O'Connor pulling within 1 point of Republican Troy Balderson in the special Congressional election set for next Tuesday, August 7, in Ohio's 12th Congressional district. O'Connor actually leads in a high turnout predictive model.

Make no mistake about it - a Democratic win here will send shockwaves through the national political establishment. As we wrote earlier, this district should not be competitive for any Democrat.

For more information on the Monmouth Poll: