|Romney is Thinking About Running -- Will he?|
On Paper, 44 year old Senator Marco Rubio is an ideal candidate for the Republican nomination. He is young (44), well spoken, handsome, and of latino heritage (Cuban). He is a darling of the Tea Party yet acceptable to mainstream Republicans. He is from Florida, the one state that the Republicans must win to win the Electoral College.
However, as good as Marco looks, sounds, and works out on paper, he has not yet won a state, and may not win any of the 15 States that have their Republican primary or caucus tomorrow. He is stuck at 17% in the Real Clear Politics average of polls, slightly below far-right Texas firebrand Senator Ted Cruz.
At the end of the day Tomorrow, Ted Cruz should win his home state of Texas, and the first caucus state of Florida. However, Marco Rubio is not ahead in any state. He is also well behind Donald Trump in his home state primary of Florida on March 15.
It is an adage in Presidential Politics that you have to win your home state to stay in the race -- and that you have to at lease win one state at some point to get the nomination.
There is backlash in the Republican Party to Donald Trump. Up to 50% of the party including some of the largest donors will not accept his nomination. However, they need a candidate to rally behind to stop him.
Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee from 2012, who came within 4% of President Obama in the popular vote despite losing overwhelmingly in the electoral college is considering a late entry into the Race. He still could file and enter late Primary States including New Jersey and California.
If Trump sweeps Super Tuesday and Marco Rubio continues to lose, the establishment Republicans are not going to hand their party over to Donald Trump without a fight. And embarrassing Trump with late season losses is something they may want to do even if he wins the nomination.
|Marco Rubio, The Ideal Candidate Is Not Winning|